Guidepath Absolute Return Fund Manager Performance Evaluation

GPARX Fund  USD 9.96  0.05  0.50%   
The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.33, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Guidepath(r) Absolute's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Guidepath(r) Absolute is expected to be smaller as well.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Guidepath Absolute Return are ranked lower than 9 (%) of all funds and portfolios of funds over the last 90 days. In spite of fairly strong basic indicators, Guidepath(r) Absolute is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
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Guidepath(r) Absolute Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  950.00  in Guidepath Absolute Return on November 13, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  46.00  from holding Guidepath Absolute Return or generate 4.84% return on investment over 90 days. Guidepath Absolute Return is currently producing 0.081% returns and takes up 0.6564% volatility of returns over 90 trading days. Put another way, 5% of traded mutual funds are less volatile than Guidepath(r), and 99% of all traded equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidepath(r) Absolute is expected to generate 1.19 times less return on investment than the market. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, the company is 1.18 times less risky than the market. It trades about 0.12 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon.

Guidepath(r) Absolute Current Valuation

Fairly Valued
Today
9.96
Please note that Guidepath(r) Absolute's price fluctuation is very steady at this time. At this time, the entity appears to be fairly valued. Guidepath Absolute Return retains a regular Real Value of $10.09 per share. The prevalent price of the fund is $9.96. We determine the value of Guidepath Absolute Return from evaluating fund fundamentals and technical indicators as well as its Probability Of Bankruptcy. In general, we encourage acquiring undervalued mutual funds and dropping overvalued mutual funds since, at some point, mutual fund prices and their ongoing real values will come together.
Since Guidepath(r) Absolute is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund. However, Guidepath(r) Absolute's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  9.96 Real  10.09 Hype  11.38
The intrinsic value of Guidepath(r) Absolute's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Guidepath(r) Absolute's stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
10.09
Real Value
10.75
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Guidepath Absolute Return helps investors to forecast how Guidepath(r) mutual fund's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Guidepath(r) Absolute more accurately as focusing exclusively on Guidepath(r) Absolute's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9611.3812.04
Details
Below is the normalized historical share price chart for Guidepath Absolute Return extending back to April 29, 2011. This chart has been adjusted for all splits and dividends and is plotted against all major global economic recessions. As of today, the current price of Guidepath(r) Absolute stands at 9.96, as last reported on the 11th of February 2026, with the highest price reaching 9.96 and the lowest price hitting 9.96 during the day.
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes

Guidepath(r) Absolute Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 9.96 90 days 9.96 
about 11.17
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Guidepath(r) Absolute to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 11.17 (This Guidepath Absolute Return probability density function shows the probability of Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Guidepath(r) Absolute has a beta of 0.33. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Guidepath(r) Absolute average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Guidepath Absolute Return will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Guidepath Absolute Return has an alpha of 0.0449, implying that it can generate a 0.0449 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Guidepath(r) Absolute Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Guidepath(r) Absolute

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Guidepath Absolute Return. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.9611.3812.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.4310.0910.75
Details

Guidepath(r) Absolute Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Guidepath(r) Absolute is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Guidepath(r) Absolute's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Guidepath Absolute Return, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Guidepath(r) Absolute within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.04
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.33
σ
Overall volatility
0.23
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Guidepath(r) Absolute Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Guidepath(r) Absolute for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Guidepath Absolute Return can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.

Guidepath(r) Absolute Fundamentals Growth

Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Guidepath(r) Absolute, and Guidepath(r) Absolute fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund performance.

About Guidepath(r) Absolute Performance

Evaluating Guidepath(r) Absolute's performance through its fundamental ratios, provides valuable insights into its operational efficiency and profitability. For instance, if Guidepath(r) Absolute has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if Guidepath(r) Absolute has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
The fund operates as a fund of funds, investing primarily in registered mutual funds, including exchange-traded funds . The funds in which the fund may invest are referred to herein as the underlying funds. The Advisor believes that investing in underlying funds provides the fund with an efficient means of creating a portfolio that provides investors with indirect exposure to a broad range of securities.

Things to note about Guidepath Absolute Return performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Guidepath(r) Absolute for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Mutual Fund alerts and notifications screener for Guidepath Absolute Return help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Evaluating Guidepath(r) Absolute's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Guidepath(r) Absolute's mutual fund performance include:
  • Analyzing Guidepath(r) Absolute's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Guidepath(r) Absolute's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Guidepath(r) Absolute's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Guidepath(r) Absolute's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Guidepath(r) Absolute's management team can help you assess the Mutual Fund's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Guidepath(r) Absolute's mutual fund. These opinions can provide insight into Guidepath(r) Absolute's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Guidepath(r) Absolute's mutual fund performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Guidepath(r) Absolute's mutual fund market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.

Other Information on Investing in Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund

Guidepath(r) Absolute financial ratios help investors to determine whether Guidepath(r) Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Guidepath(r) with respect to the benefits of owning Guidepath(r) Absolute security.
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